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Media Office in the Gaza Strip: The Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp, killing 33 people. According to Palestinian media, from the evening of 12th to the early morning of 13th local time, the Israeli army attacked the central and southern parts of the Gaza Strip, causing a lot of casualties. According to the Gaza Media Office, 33 people were killed and 84 others were missing or injured in the Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza on the evening of 12th. The Palestinian newspaper Al-Quds reported that Israeli troops bombed a tent for displaced people in Khan Younis, a city in southern Gaza, early on the 13th, killing two people and injuring many others.Japan's short-term survey index of large-scale manufacturing industry in December reported 14, with an estimated 13.CITIC Jiantou: With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. According to CITIC Jiantou Research Report, since September, heavy meetings have continuously released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, and policies such as lowering the standard, reducing interest rates, lowering the mortgage interest rate, supporting local governments to resolve government affairs risks, issuing special government bonds to supplement core Tier 1 capital, using various tools to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and increasing support and guarantee for key groups have been released one after another. Focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) Combined with the catering channels that are recovering continuously, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations. At the same time, the current market price of molasses has further dropped from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity. 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.

Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Goldman Sachs expects the average price of iron ore to be 95 USD/ton in 2025 and 90 USD/ton in 2026.The fifth district of Beijing issued a blue warning of strong winds. At present, Yanqing District, Mentougou District, Haidian District, Changping District and Fangshan District of Beijing have issued blue warnings of strong winds.

After the short-term survey was released, the 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose to 142.51.Guotai Junan: It is suggested that the beauty care sector with product and channel changes and flexibility should be optimized from the bottom up. Guotai Junan said that after the pressure of consumption in 2022 and the destocking of consumers in 2023, the beauty consumption will return to the normal purchase cycle in 2024, and the industry prosperity will improve month-on-month, and the double-digit growth of online beauty will be achieved. However, after the channel dividend subsided, the platform traffic and price competition became fierce, and the brand differentiation further intensified. Relying on the product innovation and channel operation ability brought by organizational efficiency, the performance of domestic products in the head is still bright, and the rise of new domestic products has spread from beauty cosmetics to personal care. Looking forward to 2025, the market risk appetite will be significantly restored. Because of its many changes and the rising trend of domestic products as a whole, the American nursing sector has obvious growth attributes and significantly benefited from its style. Brand differentiation in the fundamental dimension has intensified, and it is suggested that the flexible target with product and channel changes should be optimized from bottom to top.The yield of China's 10-year government bonds fell below 1.80% at the beginning of the session, hitting a new record low.